David P. Goldman

David Paul Goldman (born September 27, 1951) is an American economist, music critic, and author, best known for his series of online essays in the Asia Times under the pseudonym Spengler. Goldman says that he writes from a Judeo-Christian perspective and often focuses on demographic and economic factors in his analyses; he says his subject matter proceeds "from the theme formulated by [Franz] Rosenzweig: the mortality of nations and its causes, Western secularism, Asian anomie, and unadaptable Islam." On March 14, 2015, Goldman and long time Asia Times associate, Uwe Von Parpart, took control of Asia Times HK Ltd.

Goldman was born in the United States, in a non-religious Jewish family. Goldman earned his bachelor's degree at Columbia University in 1973. Goldman acquired a master's degree in music education at the City University of New York. He completed his doctoral studies in economics at London School of Economics in 1976.

From 1976 to 1982, Goldman was responsible for economic publications in the radical left Lyndon LaRouche movement. Goldman has described himself during that period as a radical and an atheist. After leaving LaRouche and leftism, he became a conservative and worked for the Reagan administration and later on Wall Street.

Since 1984, Goldman has been employed as an economist and CEO of investment funds and investment policies in senior positions in bodies such as Credit Suisse, Bank of America, Cantor Fitzgerald, Asteri Capital, and SG Capital. After leaving Wall Street, he became an editor for First Things magazine. In September 2013, Goldman became a Managing Director and head of the Americas division of the Reorient Group investment bank based in Hong Kong.

As an economist, Goldman published hundreds of articles and studies on various economic subjects, in professional journals as well as journals and dailies such as Wall Street Journal, Commentary, and Bloomberg Businessweek. He was a columnist for Forbes from 1994 to 2001.

Alongside his work as an economist and analyst, he has published articles in musicology journals and other publications and written several books. Between 2002 and 2011, Goldman served as a member of the board of directors of Mannes School of Music, where he was formerly a teacher.

According to the Claremont Review of Books, the "Spengler" columns in the Asia Times have attracted readership in the millions. His analyses of global events have become highly regarded. Former C.I.A. National Intelligence Council Vice Chairman Herbert E. Meyer said, "Ask anyone in the intelligence business to name the world's most brilliant intelligence service, and we'll all give the same answer: Spengler. David P. Goldman's 'Spengler' columns provide more insight than the CIA, MI6, and the Mossad combined.”Goldman concealed his identity under the "Spengler" pseudonym until 2009, when he revealed his identity in the Asia Times article, "And Spengler is…" and the First Things article "Confessions of a Coward".

Goldman regularly appears as a guest on CNBC's Larry Kudlow Program, where he has been an outspoken critic of Federal Reserve efforts to resuscitate the American economy.

In "Dumb and Dumber", a widely commented upon piece for Tablet Magazine in May 2013, Goldman argued how both Republican and Democratic foreign policy elite in the United States have wrongly put their faith in the so-called Arab Spring. In Goldman's view, economic and demographic realities could condemn many Arab states to state failure.

In "Deplorably, Trump is going to win", published in Asia Times about two months before the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election, Goldman correctly predicted Donald Trump would win the presidency.

As "Spengler", Goldman wrote about a wide range of topics, varying from music theory and mathematics to culture and religion (Goldman himself is a Modern Orthodox Jew), but his main focus was geo-economic and geo-political issues. In his 2011 book How Civilizations Die Goldman described his worldview at length, inspired by Franz Rosenzweig and his "The Star of Redemption".

According to Goldman, following in Rosenzweig's footsteps, a people's beliefs about its past and future decide its fate, since the propagation of one's culture is an imitation of immortality, the desire for which is so strong that it shapes history. So a nation's future is heavily influenced by what provides it with a vision of life after death: religion. Goldman thinks that the true strength of a nation is exposed during the encounter with the modern age, with globalization and an open and changing array of perceptions and ideas. The common tendency, especially in Europe, to nationalize religion by adding to it a pseudo-Hebraic belief that the nation is the divinely 'chosen people' condemns peoples to downfall when their nationalism (and the religion it is entwined with) is ruined by political circumstances. When religion and patriotism are thus destroyed, a people loses hope for the future and therefore ceases to bear enough children to prevent demographic collapse.

Goldman is married and has two daughters. He is the Wax Family Fellow at the Middle East Forum, a Senior Fellow at the London Center for Policy Research, and a member of the Board of Advisors of Sino-Israel Government Network and Academic Leadership.

Books

• Goldman, David P (September 2011), It’s Not the End of the World, It’s Just the End of You: The Great Extinction of the Nations (paperback), New York, NY, USA: RVP Publishers, ISBN 978-1-61412-202-9 
• ——— (September 2011), How Civilizations Die (and why Islam is dying too) (hardcover), Washington, DC, USA: Regnery, ISBN 1-59698273-X 

Journal articles

• Goldman, David (12/01/1991), "Growth Economics versus Macroeconomics", Public Interest (105): 78ff, ISSN 0033-3557 
• ——— (2/1/2009), "Demographics & Depression", Human Life Review, 35 (1/2): 153ff, ISSN 0097-9783 
• ——— (2012), "Transparency in Bank Risk Modeling: A Solution to the Conundrum of Bank Regulation", Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 24 (1): 74–79, ISSN 1078-1196 
• Peer-reviewed articles (search results), Villa nova 

Online articles

• Goldman, David P, "Archive of articles", First Things 
• ———, "Spengler", Asia Times (archive of columns) 
• ———, "Author page", Asia Times (archive of contributions) 
• ———, Spengler (archive of columns), Pajamas media 
• ———, Tablet magazine (archive of columns)