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Stephanie Trussell
American politician

Stephanie Trussell

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American politician
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Female
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County elections
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The 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2022 Illinois general election. Gubernatorial candidates ran on tickets with candidates for lieutenant governor. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats J. B. Pritzker and Juliana Stratton, sought re-election together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey and his running mate Stephanie Trussell.

On election day, Pritzker won re-election with 54.9% of the vote, 0.4% higher than his 2018 performance, and the best raw vote percentage for a Democrat for governor since 1960. However, his margin of victory declined from 15.7% in 2018 to just 12.5% in 2022. Pritzker's victory was once again the result of a strong performance in the Chicago metropolitan area—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic Cook County, the home of Chicago, as well as winning all but one of the neighboring collar counties. Bailey improved upon former Republican governor Bruce Rauner's performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of Alexander, Fulton, Jackson, Knox, and Winnebago which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip McLean county, marking the first time since 1948 that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.

Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and be reelected for a second since Rod Blagojevich in 2006. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democratic governor had either been impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.

Election information

The primaries and general elections will coincide with those for federal congressional races, the state's U.S. Senate race, and those for other state offices. The election will be part of the 2022 Illinois elections.

The primary election was held on June 28. The general election was held on November 8, 2022.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Beverly Miles, U.S. Army veteran, registered nurse and activist
    • Running mate: Karla Shaw

Endorsements

J. B. Pritzker
Organizations
  • Equality Illinois
Newspapers
  • Daily Herald
Labor unions
  • Illinois AFL–CIO
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150

Results

PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic
810,98991.88%
Democratic
  • Beverly Miles
  • Karla Shaw
71,7048.12%
Total votes882,693100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Darren Bailey, state senator
    • Running mate: Stephanie Trussell, former radio talk show host from Lisle, Illinois.

Eliminated in primary

  • Richard Irvin, mayor of Aurora
  • Gary Rabine, businessman
    • Running mate: Aaron Del Mar, Palatine Township Republican Committeeman
  • Paul Schimpf, former state senator and nominee for Attorney General in 2014
    • Running mate: Carolyn Schofield, McHenry County Board member
  • Max Solomon, Attorney
    • Running Mate: Latasha Fields
  • Jesse Sullivan, venture capitalist
    • Running mate: Kathleen Murphy, former director of communications for state representative Jeanne Ives

Removed from ballot

  • Emily Johnson
  • Keisha Smith

Declined

  • Rodney Davis, U.S. representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (ran for re-election)
  • Kirk Dillard, chair of the Regional Transportation Authority, former state senator, and candidate for governor in 2010 and 2014
  • Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative for Illinois's 16th congressional district
  • Todd Ricketts, finance chair of the Republican National Committee, member of the TD Ameritrade Board of Directors, and co-owner of the Chicago Cubs

Endorsements

Darren Bailey
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
U.S. representatives
  • Mary Miller, U.S. representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
State legislators
  • Jeanne Ives, former state representative (2013–2019), candidate for governor in 2018 and nominee for Illinois's 6th congressional district in 2020
  • Chris Miller, state representative (2019–present)
Organizations
  • Illinois Family Action
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life
  • Illinois Citizens for Life
Richard Irvin
U.S. senators
  • Mark Kirk, former U.S. senator from Illinois (2010–2017) and former U.S. representative from Illinois's 10th congressional district (2001–2010)
  • Tim Scott, U.S. senator from South Carolina (2013–present) and former U.S. representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district (2011–2013)
U.S. representatives
  • John Shimkus, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2013–2021)
U.S. Attorneys
  • Dan Webb, former U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois (1981–1985), prosecutor in Operation Greylord
Statewide officeholders
State legislators
Local officials
  • Bob Berlin, DuPage County State's Attorney
  • Patrick Kenneally, McHenry County State's Attorney
  • Mike Downey, Kankakee County Sheriff
  • Sean Morrison, Cook County Commissioner and Chair of the Cook County Republican Party
Individuals
Organizations
  • Americans for Prosperity Action
  • Fraternal Order of Police Chicago Lodge 7
  • Illinois Trooper Lodge 41
Newspapers
  • Daily Herald
Labor unions
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150
Gary Rabine
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency
Local officials
  • Mark Curran, former Lake County Sheriff and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020
  • Bill Prim, McHenry County Sheriff
Paul Schimpf
Newspapers
  • Chicago Tribune
Jesse Sullivan
State legislators
Organizations
  • Lake County Republican Party
  • Republicans of Wheeling Township

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Darren
Bailey
Richard
Irvin
Gary
Rabine
Paul
Schimpf
Max
Solomon
Jesse
Sullivan
Other
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsJune 6–13, 2022June 15, 202235.0%18.5%7.0%4.5%1.5%11.5%22.0%Bailey +16.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Darren
Bailey
Richard
Irvin
Gary
Rabine
Paul
Schimpf
Max
Solomon
Jesse
Sullivan
OtherUndecided
Ogden & Fry (R)June 24, 2022518 (LV)± 4.4%38%13%9%3%1%17%20%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 20–22, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%37%14%7%4%<1%17%1%18%
Remington Research Group (R)June 14–15, 2022889 (LV)± 3.0%27%13%8%6%3%27%26%
The Trafalgar Group (R)June 10–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%38%20%8%5%1%12%16%
Ogden & Fry (R)June 11–12, 2022662 (LV)± 3.9%31%17%8%3%1%11%30%
Public Policy Polling (D)June 6–7, 2022677 (LV)± 3.8%32%17%6%4%2%11%27%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 1–2, 2022600 (LV)± 3.5%27%20%12%3%13%24%
1892 Polling (R)May 24–25, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%25%31%8%2%1%11%22%
Emerson CollegeMay 6–8, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%20%24%8%2%2%7%37%
Cor Strategies (R)April 29 – May 2, 2022671 (LV)± 3.8%21%33%7%2%3%10%25%
Cor Strategies (R)April 18–21, 2022536 (LV)± 4.2%13%30%4%1%2%9%2%38%
Cor Strategies (R)~February 11, 2022– (LV)23%10%6%5%1%11%44%
Ogden & Fry (R)October 3–4, 2021404 (LV)± 5.0%33%5%3%6%3%49%

Results

PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican
458,10257.48%
Republican
  • Jesse Sullivan
  • Kathleen Murphy
125,09415.70%
Republican119,59215.00%
Republican
  • Gary Rabine
  • Aaron Del Mar
52,1946.55%
Republican
34,6764.35%
Republican
  • Max Solomon
  • Latasha H. Fields
7,3710.92%
Total votes797,029100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Scott Schluter, veteran, diesel technician, and chair of the Southern Illinois Libertarian Party
    • Running mate: John Phillips

Withdrew

  • Jon Stewart, former professional wrestler and candidate in 2018

Other parties and independents

Independents

Declared but never filed

Removed from ballot

  • Tommy Belg

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside ElectionsSolid DMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DJune 29, 2022
PoliticoLikely DApril 1, 2022
RCPLean DOctober 26, 2022
Fox NewsSolid DAugust 22, 2022
538Solid DJune 30, 2022
Elections DailySafe DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

J. B. Pritzker (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present)
  • Kamala Harris, 49th vice president of the United States (2021–present)
  • Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)
Statewide officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • Equality Illinois
  • Human Rights Campaign
  • Cook County Democratic Party
  • 47th Ward Democrats
  • Everytown for Gun Safety
  • Planned Parenthood Illinois Action
  • National Organization for Women – Illinois
  • Democratic Governors Association
  • Associated Fire Fighters of Illinois
  • Giffords
  • Gun Violence Prevention PAC
  • Personal PAC
Labor unions
  • Illinois AFL–CIO
  • United Mine Workers
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150
  • American Federation of Teachers – Illinois
  • Communications Workers of America
  • Laborers' International Union of North America
  • National Education Association
  • Service Employees International Union – Illinois
  • Chicago Federation of Labor
Newspapers
  • Chicago Tribune
  • Finger Lakes Times
  • eNews Park Forest
Darren Bailey (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
U.S. representatives
  • Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)
  • Mary Miller, U.S. representative from Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
State legislators
  • Dan McConchie, minority leader of the Illinois Senate (2021–2023) and state senator (2016–present)
  • Jeanne Ives, former state representative (2013–2019), candidate for governor in 2018 and nominee for Illinois's 6th congressional district in 2020
  • Chris Miller, state representative (2019–present)
Organizations
  • Illinois Family Action
  • Illinois Federation for Right to Life
  • Illinois Citizens for Life
  • Illinois Fraternal Order of Police
  • A Brotherhood Aimed Towards Education of Illinois

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregationDates administeredJ.B Pritzker (D)Darren Bailey (R)Scott Schluter(L)Margin
FiveThirtyEightJune 21– November 8, 202256.1%39.9%4.8%Pritzker +16.2
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Darren
Bailey (R)
Scott
Schluter (L)
OtherUndecided
Victory Research (R)November 5–7, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%49%42%5%4%
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%56%37%2%5%
CiviqsOctober 22–25, 2022659 (LV)± 4.3%56%39%3%1%
Emerson CollegeOctober 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%41%3%2%4%
52%42%3%3%
University of Illinois SpringfieldOctober 17 – 25, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.5%55%40%5%
Osage Research (R)October 13–15, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%4%10%
Public Policy Polling (D)October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%49%34%8%9%
Research AmericaOctober 5–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.1%50%28%6%4%13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)September 25–27, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%50%45%5%
48%40%3%8%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%36%5%8%
Osage Research (R)September 8–10, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%44%37%8%13%
Victory Research (R)August 30 – September 1, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%47%36%2%15%
Victory Geek (D)August 25–28, 2022512 (LV)± 4.3%56%38%6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)August, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%50%38%3%10%
52%42%6%
Victory Research (R)July 17–19, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%49%39%2%10%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 20–21, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%50%43%7%
Victory Research (R)January 18–20, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%55%27%17%
Hypothetical polling
J. B. Pritzker vs. Richard Irvin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Richard
Irvin (R)
Undecided
Victory Research (R)January 18–20, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%53%22%25%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Gary Rabine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Gary
Rabine (R)
Undecided
Victory Research (R)January 18–20, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%52%28%19%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Paul Schimpf
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Paul
Schimpf (R)
Undecided
Victory Research (R)January 18–20, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%56%22%22%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Jesse Sullivan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Jesse
Sullivan (R)
Undecided
Victory Research (R)January 18–20, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%53%22%25%
J. B. Pritzker vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Victory Geek (D)November 8–10, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%49%41%10%
J. B. Pritzker vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Victory Research (R)July 17–19, 20221,208 (LV)± 2.8%47%47%6%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 20–21, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%47%50%3%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)June 20–21, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%44%10%

Debates

No.DateHostModeratorLink
 P   A   N   I 

J. B. PritzkerDarren Bailey
October 6, 2022Illinois State UniversityYouTubePP
October 18, 2022NewsNationYouTubePP

Results

Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +15-20%
  •   Democratic — +10-15%
  •   Democratic — +5-10%
  •   Democratic — +0-5%
  •   Republican — +0-55%
  •   Republican — +5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-15%
  •   Republican — +15-20%
  •   Republican — +20-25%
  •   Republican — +25-30%
  •   Republican — +>30%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +15-20%
  •   Democratic — +10-15%
  •   Democratic — +5-10%
  •   Democratic — +0-5%
  •   Republican — +0-55%
  •   Republican — +5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-15%
  •   Republican — +15-20%
  •   Republican — +20-25%
  •   Republican — +25-30%
  •   Republican — +>30%
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
2,253,74854.91%+0.38%
Republican
1,739,09542.37%+3.54%
Libertarian
  • Scott Schluter
  • John Phillips
111,7122.72%+0.32%
Write-in810.0%-0.01%
Total votes4,104,636100.0%
Turnout%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

  • Alexander (Largest city: Cairo)
  • Fulton (Largest city: Canton)
  • Jackson (Largest city: Carbondale)
  • Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
  • Winnebago (Largest city: Rockford)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)

By congressional district

Pritzker won 14 of 17 congressional districts.

DistrictPritzkerBaileyRepresentative
1st68%30%Bobby Rush (117th Congress)
Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress)
2nd66%32%Robin Kelly
3rd68%29%Marie Newman (117th Congress)
Delia Ramirez (118th Congress)
4th69%29%Chuy García
5th70%28%Mike Quigley
6th53%44%Sean Casten
7th85%13%Danny Davis
8th55%42%Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th71%26%Jan Schakowsky
10th61%35%Brad Schneider
11th55%42%Bill Foster
12th25%72%Mike Bost
13th53%44%Nikki Budzinski
14th52%45%Lauren Underwood
15th29%69%Mary Miller
16th37%60%Darin LaHood
17th49%48%Cheri Bustos (117th Congress)
Eric Sorensen (118th Congress)
The contents of this page are sourced from Wikipedia article. The contents are available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license.
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