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Lynnette Grey Bull
Wyoming politician

Lynnette Grey Bull

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Intro
Wyoming politician
Work field
Gender
Female
The details (from wikipedia)

Biography

General elections
Presidential elections
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U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Presidential caucuses
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Liz Cheney was reelected with 68.6% of the vote in 2020, but she faced backlash from her party for her opposition to Donald Trump, vocal support of Trump's second impeachment, and vote in favor and service on the January 6th Committee. She was defeated by pro-Trump candidate Harriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022, with a landslide 66.3% of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina Republican Bob Inglis in a 2010 primary runoff. Democrats nominated nonprofit founder Lynette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020.

As expected in this solidly Republican state, Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flip Albany County, which she had lost in 2020.

Republican primary

Background

Incumbent Liz Cheney was criticized by supporters of former president Donald Trump for her vote to impeach him, as well as refusing to object to the certification of the Electoral College results in the 2020 presidential election. Following her impeachment vote, Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz appeared at a rally at the Wyoming State Capitol in support of ousting Cheney, with Donald Trump Jr. also supporting it by phone in January 2021. For the same reason, the Wyoming Republican Party later voted to censure her and requested that she resign or be primaried in the next election. Later that year, it also voted 31–29 to no longer recognize Cheney as a member due to her actions to participate in the January 6 Select Committee shortly after being removed as Conference Chair.

In February 2021, members of the Freedom Caucus attempted to have Cheney removed from her position as Chair of the House Republican Conference in response to her impeachment vote. In a secret ballot, 61 members of the conference voted to remove, while 145 voted not to remove. Cheney retained her position in large part because of the support by these Republicans, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and House Minority Whip Steve Scalise. Eventually, however, Cheney's continued criticism of Trump lost her support by more Republicans, including McCarthy and Scalise, and McCarthy was caught on a hot mic saying "I've had it with her" in reference to Cheney. On May 12, 2021, Cheney was removed from her position as conference chair by a voice vote and replaced with Elise Stefanik.

On May 21, 2021, challenger Anthony Bouchard admitted that as a teenager he fell in love with and started dating a 14-year-old girl who he subsequently impregnated then married, Bouchard was 18 at the time. Bouchard claimed he went public with the story because he had learned that the story was being investigated by others, though the Cheney campaign denied investigating it. He compared his relationship with the unnamed girl to "the Romeo and Juliet story." The two were married but divorced three years later, and she committed suicide at age 20. Bouchard continued to raise their son after her death, though he says the two are now estranged.

Cheney and Adam Kinzinger were censured by the Republican National Committee at its meeting in Salt Lake City on February 4, 2022, due to "actions in their positions as members of the January 6th Select Committee not befitting Republican members of Congress". The Wyoming delegation to the committee also submitted a "Rule 11" letter formalizing support for challenger Harriet Hageman and allowing the RNC to spend money allocated for Wyoming's party branch on her behalf. At the same time, support of Hageman surged following the censure of Cheney. Hageman has referred to Donald Trump as "racist and xenophobic" and also as "the weakest candidate" during the 2016 presidential election; at the same time Hageman endorsed Cheney and called her a "proven, courageous, constitutional conservative."

Following Cheney's defeat, she called Hageman to concede the race. However, Hageman alleged that Cheney only left 2 words: "Hi Harriet". This prompted Cheney to release the full audio recording of the call which showed that she did, in fact, concede the race. The Hageman camp asserted that a technical glitch was at fault.

Candidates

Nominee

  • Harriet Hageman, lawyer, former member of the Republican National Committee and candidate for Governor of Wyoming in 2018

Eliminated in primary

Lynnette Grey Bull
Incumbent U.S. Representative Liz Cheney lost the primary
  • Robyn Belinskey, businesswoman
  • Anthony Bouchard, state senator from the 6th district
  • Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. Representative, vice chair of the House January 6 Committee and former chair of the House Republican Conference
  • Denton Knapp, retired U.S. Army colonel

Withdrawn

  • Chuck Gray, state representative for the 57th district (running for Secretary of State)
  • Bryan Miller, chair of the Sheridan County Republican Party and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020 (endorsed Hageman)
  • Darin Smith, attorney, Christian Broadcasting Network executive and candidate for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Hageman)

Declined

Endorsements

Anthony Bouchard
Individuals
Liz Cheney
Executive Branch officials
  • George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States (2001–2009) and 46th Governor of Texas (1995–2000)
  • Dick Cheney, 46th Vice President of the United States (2001–2009), 17th United States Secretary of Defense (1989–1993) and U.S Representative for Wyoming's at-large district (1979–1989) (candidate's father)
  • Alyssa Farah Griffin, former White House Director of Strategic Communications (2020)
  • Kay Bailey Hutchison, former United States Ambassador to NATO (2017–2021) and former U.S. Senator from Texas (1993–2013)
  • Cindy McCain, United States Ambassador to the United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture (2021–present)
  • Karl Rove, former White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy (2005–2007) and former Senior Advisor to the President (2001–2007)
  • Miles Taylor, Chief of Staff to the United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2019) (Forward)
  • Christine Todd Whitman, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and Governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward)
U.S. Senators
  • Mitt Romney, U.S. Senator from Utah (2019–present), Governor of Massachusetts (2003-2007), 2012 Republican presidential nominee
  • Alan Simpson, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (1979-1997)
  • Al Franken, U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2009-2018) (Democratic)
U.S. Representatives
  • John Boehner, former U.S. Representative for Ohio's 8th Congressional District (1991–2015), former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2011–2015), House Minority Leader (2007–2011), House Majority Leader (2006–2007), Chair of the House Republican Conference (1995–1999), and member of the Ohio House of Representatives for the 57th District (1985–1990)
  • Adam Kinzinger, U.S Representative for Illinois 11th (2011–2013) and 16th congressional district (2013–2023)
  • Tom Malinowski, U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 7th congressional district (2019–2023) (Democratic)
  • Dean Phillips, U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2019–present) (Democratic)
  • Paul Ryan, former U.S Representative for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (1999–2019), former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019), and nominee for vice president of the United States in 2012
Governors
  • Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts (2015–2023)
  • Mike Sullivan, Governor of Wyoming (1987–1995) (Democratic - registered as Republican to vote in primary)
Individuals
Organizations
  • Renew America Movement
  • AIPAC PAC
Harriet Hageman
Executive branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
  • Justin R. Clark, former Director of the Office of Intergovernmental Affairs (2017–2018) and the Office of Public Liaison (2018)
  • Bill Stepien, former White House Director of Political Affairs (2017–2018)
  • Mercedes Schlapp, former White House Director of Strategic Communications (2017-2019)
  • Ryan Zinke, 52nd United States Secretary of the Interior (2017-2019), U.S. representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2015-2017)
U.S. Senators
  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)
  • Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011–present)
  • Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021–present), U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2009–2017), Treasurer of Wyoming (1999–2007)
U.S. Representatives
  • Barbara Cubin, U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district (1995–2009) and Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2001–2003)
  • Kevin McCarthy, Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives (2019–2023) and U.S. Representative for California's 23rd congressional district (2007–2023)
  • Elise Stefanik, House Republican Conference Chair (2021–present) and U.S. Representative for New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)
  • Ronny Jackson, U.S. Representative for Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present)
  • Brian Babin, U.S. representative for Texas's 36th congressional district (2015–present)
  • Jim Banks, Chair of the Republican Study Committee (2021–present) and U.S. representative for Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)
  • Jim Baird, U.S. representative for Indiana's 4th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Cliff Bentz, U.S. representative for Oregon's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Jack Bergman, U.S. representative for Michigan's 1st congressional district (2017–present)
  • Andy Biggs, Chair of the House Freedom Caucus and U.S. representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
  • Dan Bishop, U.S. representative for North Carolina's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)
  • Lauren Boebert, U.S. representative for Colorado's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Mike Bost, U.S. representative for Illinois's 12th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Mo Brooks, U.S. representative for Alabama's 5th congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Ted Budd, U.S. representative for North Carolina's 13th congressional district (2017–2023)
  • Tim Burchett, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)
  • Michael Burgess, U.S. representative for Texas's 26th congressional district (2003–present)
  • Kat Cammack, U.S. representative for Florida's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Mike Carey, U.S. representative for Ohio's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Jerry Carl, U.S. representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district (2021–present)
  • Buddy Carter, U.S. representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)
  • Madison Cawthorn, U.S. representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)
  • Ben Cline, U.S. representative for Virginia's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Michael Cloud, U.S. representative for Texas's 27th congressional district (2018–present)
  • Warren Davidson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present)
  • Rodney Davis, U.S. representative for Illinois's 13th congressional district (2013–2023)
  • Byron Donalds, U.S. representative for Florida's 19th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Jeff Duncan, U.S. representative for South Carolina's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)
  • Ron Estes, U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district (2017–present)
  • Pat Fallon, U.S. representative for Texas's 4th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Chuck Fleischmann, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)
  • Michelle Fischbach, U.S. representative for Minnesota's 7th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Scott L. Fitzgerald, U.S. representative for Wisconsin's 5th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Virginia Foxx, U.S. representative for North Carolina's 5th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Russ Fulcher, U.S. representative for Idaho's 1st congressional district (2019–present)
  • Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present)
  • Andrew Garbarino, U.S. representative for New York's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Bob Gibbs, U.S. representative for Ohio's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Carlos Giménez, U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district (2021–2023)
  • Lance Gooden, U.S. representative for Texas's 5th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Sam Graves, U.S. representative for Missouri's 6th congressional district (2001–present)
  • Mark E. Green, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 7th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Kay Granger, Vice Chair of the House Republican Conference (2007–2009) and U.S. representative for Texas's 12th congressional district (1997–present)
  • Glenn Grothman, U.S. representative for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district (2015–present)
  • Diana Harshbarger, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 1st congressional district (2021–present)
  • Vicky Hartzler, U.S. representative for Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Kevin Hern, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district (2018–present)
  • Yvette Herrell, U.S. representative for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district (2021–2023)
  • Jody Hice, U.S. representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district (2015–present)
  • Clay Higgins, U.S. representative for Louisiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)
  • Richard Hudson, Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2021–present) and U.S. representative for North Carolina's 8th congressional district (2013–2023)
  • Bill Huizenga, U.S. representative for Michigan's 2nd congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Darrell Issa, U.S. representative for California's 50th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Chris Jacobs, U.S. representative for New York's 27th congressional district (2020–2023)
  • Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)
  • John Joyce, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Fred Keller, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019–2023)
  • Mike Kelly, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2011–present)
  • Doug LaMalfa, U.S. representative for California's 1st congressional district (2013–present)
  • Debbie Lesko, U.S. representative for Arizona's 8th congressional district (2018–present)
  • Billy Long, U.S. representative for Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Barry Loudermilk, U.S. representative for Georgia's 11th congressional district (2015–present)
  • Frank Lucas, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district (2003–present) and former representative for Oklahoma's 6th congressional district (1994-2003)
  • Brian Mast, U.S. representative for Florida's 18th congressional district (2017–2023)
  • Lisa McClain, U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2021–2023)
  • Dan Meuser, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Tom McClintock, U.S. representative for California's 4th congressional district (2009–present)
  • Carol Miller, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 3rd congressional district (2019–2023)
  • Mary Miller, U.S. representative for Illinois's 15th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Jeff Miller, U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district (2001-2017)
  • Barry Moore, U.S. representative for Alabama's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Markwayne Mullin, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district (2013–2023)
  • Greg Murphy, U.S. representative for North Carolina's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)
  • Troy Nehls, U.S. representative for Texas's 22nd congressional district (2021–present)
  • Ralph Norman, U.S. representative for South Carolina's 5th congressional district (2017–present)
  • Burgess Owens, U.S. representative for Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Steven Palazzo, U.S. representative for Mississippi's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)
  • Gary Palmer, U.S. representative for Alabama's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Scott Perry, Chair of the House Freedom Caucus (2022–present), U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2013-2019)
  • Bill Posey, U.S. representative for Florida's 8th congressional district (2013–present), former U.S. representative for Florida's 15th congressional district (2009-2013)
  • Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2019–present)
  • John Rose, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 6th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Matt Rosendale, U.S. representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2021–present)
  • John Rutherford, U.S. representative for Florida's 4th congressional district (2017–present)
  • Joe Wilson, U.S. representative for South Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2001–present)
  • Mike Simpson, U.S. representative for Idaho's 2nd congressional district (1999–present)
  • Chris Smith, U.S. representative for New Jersey's 4th congressional district (1981–present)
  • Jason Smith, U.S. representative for Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present), former Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2017-2021)
  • Lloyd Smucker, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (2019–present), former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2017-2019)
  • Victoria Spartz, U.S. representative for Indiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Pete Stauber, U.S. representative for Minnesota's 8th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Greg Steube, U.S. representative for Florida's 17th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)
  • Claudia Tenney, U.S. representative for New York's 22nd congressional district (2017-2019), (2021–present)
  • Tom Tiffany, U.S. representative for Wisconsin's 7th congressional district (2020–present)
  • William Timmons, U.S. representative for South Carolina's 4th congressional district (2019–present)
  • Jeff Van Drew, U.S. representative for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)
  • Tim Walberg, U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district (2007-2009), (2011–2023)
  • Jackie Walorski, U.S. representative for Indiana's 2nd congressional district (2013–2022), (Deceased)
  • Randy Weber, U.S. representative for Texas's 14th congressional district (2013–present)
  • Brad Wenstrup, U.S. representative for Ohio's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)
State and local officials
  • John Bear, state representative for the 31st district (2021–present)
  • Scott Clem, former state representative for the 31st district (2015–2021)
  • Timothy Hallinan, state representative for the 32nd district (2007–2011, 2017–present)
  • Marti Halverson, former state representative for the 22nd district (2013–2019)
  • Jeremy Haroldson, state representative for the 4th district (2021–present)
  • Hans Hunt, former state representative for 2nd district (2011–2021)
  • Bill McIlvain, former Speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives (1989–1991) and state representative (1969–1973, 1977–1990)
  • Chip Neiman, state representative for the 1st district (2021–present)
  • Tom Reeder, former state senator for the 58th district (2011–2017)
  • Rachel Rodriguez-Williams, state representative for the 50th district (2021–present)
  • Tim Salazar, state senator for the 26th district (2021–present) and former state representative for the 34th district (2017–2021)
  • Cheri Steinmetz, state senator for the 3rd district (2019–present) and former state representative for the 5th district (2015–2019)
  • Clarence Styvar, state representative for the 12th district (2018–present)
  • J. D. Williams, state representative for the 2nd district (2021–present)
Individuals
Organizations
  • American Conservative Union
  • Campaign for Working Families
  • Club for Growth PAC
  • Gun Owners of America
Chuck Gray (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
  • Paul Gosar, U.S Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district (2011–present)
State Officials
  • Clarence Styvar, state representative for the 12th district (2019–present)
  • Chip Neiman, state representative for the 1st district (2019–present)
  • John Bear, state representative for the 31st district (2019–present)
  • Jeremy Haroldson, state representative for the 4th district (2021–present)
  • Rachel Rodriguez-Williams, state representative for the 12th district (2021–present)
  • Bill Fortner, state representative for the 52nd district (2021–present)
  • John Winter, state representative for the 28th district (2019–present)
  • Mark Jennings, state representative for the 30th district (2015–present)
Individuals

Debates and forums

Wyoming PBS has had a tradition of hosting one debate for each for the Democratic and Republican primaries for all candidates on the ballot in their respective primaries as well as one general election debate for all candidates on the ballot. All Republican candidates on the ballot that didn't withdraw were included in the sole debate. This debate was not open to the public, but was open to media outlets. Due to Liz Cheney's role as Vice Chair in the hearings for the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack which were broadcast, different MSNBC hosts would later show debate clips of her defending her work in the committee.

No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P   A   N   I   W 
Liz CheneyRobyn BelinskeyAnthony BouchardHarriet HagemanDenton KnappChuck GrayBryan MillerDarin Smith
1June 30, 2022Wyoming PBSBob Beck
Steve Peck
Craig Blumenshine
Steven Dahl
YouTubePPPPPWWW

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Anthony
Bouchard
Liz
Cheney
Harriet
Hageman
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPoliticsJuly 7 – August 6, 2022August 12, 20223.5%29.0%54.5%13.0%Hageman +25.5
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Anthony
Bouchard
Liz
Cheney
Chuck
Gray
Harriet
Hageman
Darin
Smith
OtherUndecided
University of WyomingJuly 25 – August 6, 2022562 (LV)± 4.1%2%28%57%1%12%
WPA Intelligence (R)July 12–14, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%5%31%59%5%
5%36%54%5%
5%39%51%5%
Mason-DixonJuly 7–11, 20221,100 (LV)± 3.0%5%30%52%2%11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)June 1–2, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%8%28%56%<1%7%
WPA Intelligence (R)May 24–25, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%12%26%56%6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)December 14–15, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%13%26%34%2%26%
September 14, 2021Gray suspends his campaign
September 9, 2021Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman
McLaughlin & Associates (R)July 26, 2021300 (LV)± 5.6%17%23%18%7%5%30%
23%25%14%39%
24%63%14%
Remington Research Group (R)July 25–26, 2021766 (LV)± 3.3%18%19%14%24%25%
20%70%10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)January 25–26, 2021– (LV)28%21%17%34%
50%23%27%
23%50%27%

Results

PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHarriet Hageman113,07966.3%
RepublicanLiz Cheney (incumbent)49,33928.9%
RepublicanAnthony Bouchard4,5082.6%
RepublicanDenton Knapp2,2581.3%
RepublicanRobyn Belinskey1,3060.8%
Total votes170,490100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Lynnette Grey Bull, nonprofit founder, member of the Northern Arapaho tribe, and nominee in 2020

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Helling, attorney and pro-Trump activist
  • Meghan Jensen, chair of the Sweetwater County Democratic Party

Debates and forums

No.DateHostModeratorsLinkParticipants
 P   A   N   I   W 
Lynnette Grey BullMeghan JensenSteve Helling
1August 4, 2022Wyoming PBSBob Beck
Steve Peck
Craig Blumenshine
YouTubePPP

Results

PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLynnette Grey Bull4,50762.3
DemocraticMeghan Jensen1,83325.3
DemocraticSteve Helling89712.4
Total votes7,237100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Constitution Party

Nominee

  • Marissa Selvig, former Mayor of Pavillion

Eliminated at convention

  • Joe Shogrin, Laramie County contact for the Wyoming Constitution Party

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Richard Brubaker, nominee for this seat in 2012, 2014, 2018, and 2020

Independents

Failed to qualify for ballot

General election

In the general election, Hageman faced Democratic nominee and Native American activist Lynnette Grey Bull, who was Cheney's opponent in 2020. However, Hageman was overwhelmingly favored in November. Republicans had a nearly 7-to-1 advantage in registration over Democrats, and Trump carried the state in 2020 with 70 percent of the vote, his strongest state-level performance in the nation.

Hageman won the 2022 election. She is the fourth consecutive Republican woman to represent Wyoming in the House. Barbara Cubin won the seat in 1994, followed by Cynthia Lummis in 2008, followed by Cheney in 2016, and followed by Hageman.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political ReportSolid ROctober 25, 2022
Inside ElectionsSolid ROctober 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe ROctober 5, 2021
PoliticoSolid RApril 5, 2022
RCPSafe RJune 9, 2022
Fox NewsSolid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQSolid RJuly 20, 2022
538Solid RJune 30, 2022

Debate

No.DateHostModeratorLink
Key:
 P  A  N  I 
Harriet HagemanLynette Grey BullRichard BrubakerMarissa Selvig
1Oct. 13, 2022Central Wyoming College
Wyoming PBS
Wyoming Public Media
Craig BlumenshineYouTubeAPPP

Endorsements

Declined to endorse
  • Liz Cheney, U.S. Representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017–2023) (Republican)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Harriet
Hageman (R)
Lynnette
Grey Bull (D)
OthersUndecided
University of WyomingOctober 22 – November 3, 2022436 (LV)62%23%4%11%

Results

PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanHarriet Hageman132,20668.18%-0.37
DemocraticLynnette Grey Bull47,25024.37%-0.22
LibertarianRichard Brubaker5,4202.80%-0.95
Write-in4,5212.33%+1.14
ConstitutionMarissa Selvig4,5052.32%-0.60
Total votes193,902100.00%N/A
Republican hold
CountyHarriet Hageman
Republican
Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic
Richard Brubaker
Libertarian
Marissa Selvig
Constitution
Write-inMarginTotal votes
CountyHarriet Hageman
Republican
Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic
Richard Brubaker
Libertarian
Marissa Selvig
Constitution
Write-inMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany5,69945.176,08548.233062.432141.703132.48-3863.0612,617
Big Horn3,44981.4650411.90972.291082.55761.792,94569.564,234
Campbell10,44684.071,2159.783202.582682.161771.429,23174.2912,426
Carbon3,43473.3389219.051703.631262.69611.302,54254.284,683
Converse4,04480.0060211.911292.552094.13711.403,44268.095,055
Crook2,81485.823069.33692.10511.56391.192,50876.493,279
Fremont8,53963.663,51926.234203.136865.112501.865,02037.4313,414
Goshen3,83579.0476615.79861.77761.57891.833,06963.254,852
Hot Springs1,64175.3136716.84552.52743.40421.931,27458.472,179
Johnson3,00377.8260115.571002.59611.58942.442,40262.253,859
Laramie17,53958.919,57232.159143.078632.908832.977,96726.7629,771
Lincoln6,11881.6999813.331592.121121.501021.365,12068.367,489
Natrona15,39968.695,23523.356562.934782.136492.9010,16445.3422,417
Niobrara93686.43756.93161.48393.60171.5786179.501,083
Park9,65876.221,92215.173132.472161.705624.447,73661.0512,671
Platte3,10778.1860315.17812.041182.97651.642,50463.013,974
Sheridan8,49770.332,70422.383122.582181.803512.915,79347.9512,082
Sublette2,76877.9760417.01712.00481.35591.662,16460.963,550
Sweetwater8,36270.712,55521.604934.172251.901911.625,80749.1111,826
Teton2,95729.386,44764.053353.33670.672592.57-3,490-34.6710,065
Uinta5,11978.1898715.071782.721612.461031.575,26057.769,107
Washakie2,43080.0443514.33933.06431.42351.151,99565.713,036
Weston2,41286.392569.17471.68441.58331.182,15677.222,792
Totals132,20668.1847,25024.375,4202.804,5052.324,5212.3384,95643.81193,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Albany (largest municipality: Laramie)
CountyHarriet Hageman
Republican
Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic
Richard Brubaker
Libertarian
Marissa Selvig
Constitution
Write-inMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany5,69945.176,08548.233062.432141.703132.48-3863.0612,617
Big Horn3,44981.4650411.90972.291082.55761.792,94569.564,234
Campbell10,44684.071,2159.783202.582682.161771.429,23174.2912,426
Carbon3,43473.3389219.051703.631262.69611.302,54254.284,683
Converse4,04480.0060211.911292.552094.13711.403,44268.095,055
Crook2,81485.823069.33692.10511.56391.192,50876.493,279
Fremont8,53963.663,51926.234203.136865.112501.865,02037.4313,414
Goshen3,83579.0476615.79861.77761.57891.833,06963.254,852
Hot Springs1,64175.3136716.84552.52743.40421.931,27458.472,179
Johnson3,00377.8260115.571002.59611.58942.442,40262.253,859
Laramie17,53958.919,57232.159143.078632.908832.977,96726.7629,771
Lincoln6,11881.6999813.331592.121121.501021.365,12068.367,489
Natrona15,39968.695,23523.356562.934782.136492.9010,16445.3422,417
Niobrara93686.43756.93161.48393.60171.5786179.501,083
Park9,65876.221,92215.173132.472161.705624.447,73661.0512,671
Platte3,10778.1860315.17812.041182.97651.642,50463.013,974
Sheridan8,49770.332,70422.383122.582181.803512.915,79347.9512,082
Sublette2,76877.9760417.01712.00481.35591.662,16460.963,550
Sweetwater8,36270.712,55521.604934.172251.901911.625,80749.1111,826
Teton2,95729.386,44764.053353.33670.672592.57-3,490-34.6710,065
Uinta5,11978.1898715.071782.721612.461031.575,26057.769,107
Washakie2,43080.0443514.33933.06431.42351.151,99565.713,036
Weston2,41286.392569.17471.68441.58331.182,15677.222,792
Totals132,20668.1847,25024.375,4202.804,5052.324,5212.3384,95643.81193,902
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany5,69945.176,08548.233062.432141.703132.48-3863.0612,617
Big Horn3,44981.4650411.90972.291082.55761.792,94569.564,234
Campbell10,44684.071,2159.783202.582682.161771.429,23174.2912,426
Carbon3,43473.3389219.051703.631262.69611.302,54254.284,683
Converse4,04480.0060211.911292.552094.13711.403,44268.095,055
Crook2,81485.823069.33692.10511.56391.192,50876.493,279
Fremont8,53963.663,51926.234203.136865.112501.865,02037.4313,414
Goshen3,83579.0476615.79861.77761.57891.833,06963.254,852
Hot Springs1,64175.3136716.84552.52743.40421.931,27458.472,179
Johnson3,00377.8260115.571002.59611.58942.442,40262.253,859
Laramie17,53958.919,57232.159143.078632.908832.977,96726.7629,771
Lincoln6,11881.6999813.331592.121121.501021.365,12068.367,489
Natrona15,39968.695,23523.356562.934782.136492.9010,16445.3422,417
Niobrara93686.43756.93161.48393.60171.5786179.501,083
Park9,65876.221,92215.173132.472161.705624.447,73661.0512,671
Platte3,10778.1860315.17812.041182.97651.642,50463.013,974
Sheridan8,49770.332,70422.383122.582181.803512.915,79347.9512,082
Sublette2,76877.9760417.01712.00481.35591.662,16460.963,550
Sweetwater8,36270.712,55521.604934.172251.901911.625,80749.1111,826
Teton2,95729.386,44764.053353.33670.672592.57-3,490-34.6710,065
Uinta5,11978.1898715.071782.721612.461031.575,26057.769,107
Washakie2,43080.0443514.33933.06431.42351.151,99565.713,036
Weston2,41286.392569.17471.68441.58331.182,15677.222,792
Totals132,20668.1847,25024.375,4202.804,5052.324,5212.3384,95643.81193,902
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