Kellen Curry

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from all 26 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 25, 2024.

Following the 2020 census, New York lost one congressional seat and its Independent Redistricting Commission (I.R.C.) attempted to draw a new map. However, they could not reach an agreement on the map, and the Democratic-dominated New York State Legislature drew their own new Congressional map. In April 2022, in the lead-up to the 2022 midterms, the New York State Court of Appeals struck down the map as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander that failed to follow the proper procedures. The Court then assigned an Independent Special Master to create a new map.

In the 2022 House election in New York, under the new map, the Republican Party flipped 3 seats, bringing the new seat count of 15 for the Democrats and 11 held by Republicans. In March 2023, New York Democrats challenged the new map, deeming it incorrect for the Court to draw the map, claiming that the job lies solely with the Legislature and I.R.C. In July 2023, an intermediate appeals court ruled that the I.R.C. must create another new map for the 2024 House Elections. The New York State Republicans challenged the ruling to the Court of Appeals, who ruled on December 12, 2023, that the maps must be redrawn by the legislature and I.R.C. for the 2024 elections. On February 27, 2024, the New York State Legislature voted to reject the bipartisan map and instead favored redrawing the map for Democrats. On February 28, 2024, the state legislature passed a new map resulting in the 3rd, 18th, and 22nd congressional districts becoming more Democratic while the 1st becoming more Republican. The map was signed by Governor Kathy Hochul on the same day.

The 1st district is based on the eastern end and North Shore of Long Island, including the Hamptons, the North Fork, Riverhead, Port Jefferson, Smithtown, and Huntington, all in Suffolk County. The incumbent is Republican Nick LaLota, who was elected with 55.51% of the vote in 2022. George Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December 2023, is challenging LaLota in this seat, announcing his run during Joe Biden's 2024 State of the Union Address.

Republican primary

Declared

• Nick LaLota, incumbent U.S. Representative
• George Santos, former U.S. Representative from the 3rd district (2023)

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• John Avlon, former CNN reporter and co-founder of No Labels
• Nancy Goroff, chemist and nominee for this district in 2020

Withdrawn

• Jim Gaughran, former state senator from the 5th district (2019–2022) (endorsed Avlon)
• Craig Herskowitz, attorney and former administrative law judge (endorsed Goroff, running for state senate)
• Kyle Hill, emergency medical technician

Endorsements

Fundraising

Conservative primary

Declared

• Daniel Foti, financial director (previously ran in the 3rd district)

General election

Predictions

The 2nd district is based on the South Shore of Suffolk County, including the towns of Babylon, Islip, and most of Brookhaven all in Suffolk County, and Massapequa in Nassau County. The incumbent is Republican Andrew Garbarino, who was re-elected with 60.73% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Andrew Garbarino, incumbent U.S. Representative

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Rob Lubin, fashion e-commerce company founder

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Nassau County, including all of the city of Glen Cove, all of the town of North Hempstead, most of the town of Oyster Bay, a small part of the town of Hempstead, and parts of Northeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Whitestone, Beechhurst, Little Neck, and Douglaston. The incumbent was Republican George Santos, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.76% of the vote in 2022. Santos had faced heavy calls to resign following revelations that he fabricated a majority of his resumé, including from the Nassau County Republican Party.

On May 10, 2023, Santos was arrested on federal charges of fraud and money laundering.

On November 16, 2023, in light of the House Ethics Committee report finding that there was "substantial evidence" that he "violated federal criminal laws," Santos announced that he would no longer be seeking re-election. On December 1, Santos was expelled from Congress.

On February 13, 2024, former U.S. Representative Tom Suozzi defeated Republican nominee Mazi Melesa Pilip in the special election to finish Santos's term. He is also running for a full term in November.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Tom Suozzi, incumbent U.S. Representative

Filed paperwork

• Scott Livingston, investment banker

Withdrawn

• Steve Behar, former staffer for then-New York city councilor Barry Grodenchik and candidate for New York City's 23rd City Council district in 2021 and 2023 (endorsed Suozzi)
• Austin Cheng, surgical center CEO and U.S. Army veteran (endorsed Suozzi)
• Anna Kaplan, former state senator from the 7th district and candidate for this district in 2016 (endorsed Suozzi)
• Josh Lafazan, Nassau County legislator and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Suozzi)
• Zak Malamed, nonprofit executive (endorsed Suozzi)
• Will Murphy, St. John's University School of Law professor (endorsed Suozzi, running for state assembly)

Declined

• Darius Radzius, reporter for News 12 and 1010 WINS
• Reema Rasool, marketing executive and candidate for this district in 2022
• Robert Zimmerman, Democratic National Committee member and nominee for this district in 2022

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Declared

• Greg Hach, attorney and U.S. Air Force veteran
• Michael LiPetri, former state assemblyman and candidate for the 2nd district in 2020
• Jim Toes, financial executive

Publicly expressed interest

• Kellen Curry, former vice president at J.P. Morgan and U.S. Air Force veteran
• Mazi Melesa Pilip, Nassau County legislator from the 10th district (2022–present) and nominee for the February special election

Withdrawn

• George Santos, former U.S. representative from this district (running in the 1st district)
• Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retired NYPD detective (running for U.S. Senate)

Declined

• Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County Executive
• Jack Martins, state senator from the 7th district (2011–2016, 2023–present) and nominee for this district in 2016

Endorsements

Fundraising

Libertarian primary

Declared

• Ryan Kalata, merchandiser

Conservative primary

Withdrawn

• Daniel Foti, financial director (running in the 1st district)

Independents

Declared

• Matt Nappo, multimedia producer and podcaster

General election

Predictions

Polling

The 4th district is based on the South Shore of Nassau County and is entirely within the town of Hempstead. The incumbent is Republican Anthony D'Esposito, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.80% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Anthony D'Esposito, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• David Denenberg, former Nassau County legislator and convicted felon
• Laura Gillen, former town supervisor of Hempstead and nominee for this district in 2022
• Gian Jones, real estate investor
• Pat Maher, attorney and perennial candidate

Filed paperwork

• Patrick Lawrence Henry

Withdrawn

• Sarah Hughes, attorney and 2002 Olympic Champion figure skater
• Kevin Thomas, state senator from the 6th district

Declined

• Laura Curran, former Nassau County Executive (2018–2021) (endorsed Gillen)

Endorsements

Polling

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The 5th district is based in Southeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Jamaica, Hollis, Laurelton, Richmond Hill, Ozone Park, Howard Beach, and the Rockaways. The incumbent is Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was re-elected with 75.21% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Gregory Meeks, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Declared

• Paul King, businessman and nominee for this district in 2022

Endorsements

General election

Prediction

The 6th district is based in Central and Eastern Queens, including the neighborhoods of Woodside, Jackson Heights, Elmhurst, Kew Gardens, Flushing, Bayside, and Fresh Meadows. The incumbent is Democrat Grace Meng, who was re-elected with 63.95% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Grace Meng, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 7th district is based in Brooklyn and Queens, including the neighborhoods of Clinton Hill, Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Woodhaven, Maspeth, Sunnyside, and Long Island City. The incumbent is Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was elected with 80.69% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Nydia Velázquez, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The incumbent is Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was re-elected with 71.72% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Hakeem Jeffries, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The incumbent is Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was re-elected with 81.52% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Yvette Clarke, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 10th district is based in Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Park Slope, Windsor Terrace, Gowanus, Brooklyn Heights, Cobble Hill, Red Hook, Sunset Park, the Lower East Side, Greenwich Village, and the Financial District. The incumbent is Democrat Dan Goldman, who was elected with 84.04% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Dan Goldman, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The incumbent is Republican Nicole Malliotakis, who was re-elected with 61.77% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Potential

• Nicole Malliotakis, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Sarah Blas, consultant and community organizer
• Andrea Morse, attorney

Publicly expressed interest

• Justin Brannan, New York City councilor from the 43rd district (2018–present)

Potential

• Brittany Ramos DeBarros, community organizer and candidate for this district in 2022
• Max Rose, former U.S. representative

Endorsements

General election

Prediction

The 12th district is entirely based in Manhattan, comprising the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, Midtown, Hell's Kitchen, Chelsea, Murray Hill, and Gramercy. The incumbent is Democrat Jerry Nadler, who was re-elected with 81.76% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Jerry Nadler, incumbent U.S. representative

Publicly expressed interest

• Carolyn Maloney, former U.S. representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 13th district is based in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Harlem, Morningside Heights, Spanish Harlem, Hamilton Heights, Washington Heights, Inwood, Marble Hill, Fordham, Kingsbridge, and Bedford Park. The incumbent is Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who ran unopposed in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Adriano Espaillat, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 14th district is based in North Queens and the East Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Corona, East Elmhurst, Astoria, College Point, Hunts Point, Castle Hill, Throggs Neck, Parkchester, Country Club, Co-Op City, and City Island. The incumbent is Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was re-elected with 70.72% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, incumbent U.S. representative
• Marty Dolan, financial adviser

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Declared

• Tina Forte, social media influencer and nominee for this district in 2022
• Jonathan Rinaldi, building contractor and nominee for NYC's 24th Council district in 2023

Filed paperwork

• Patrick Delices

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 15th district is based in the West Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Mott Haven, Melrose, Morrisania, Highbridge, Tremont, West Farms, Belmont, Norwood, Woodlawn Heights, Riverdale, and Spuyten Duyvil. The incumbent is Democrat Ritchie Torres, who was elected with 82.79% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Ritchie Torres, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Independents

• Jose Vega, laroucheite

General election

Prediction

The 16th district is based in southern Westchester County, including Yonkers, White Plains, New Rochelle, and Rye. It also includes Wakefield in the Bronx. The incumbent is Democrat Jamaal Bowman, who was elected with 64.30% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Jamaal Bowman, incumbent U.S. Representative
• George Latimer, Westchester County Executive (2018–present) and former state senator from the 37th district (2013–2017)

Withdrawn

• Marty Dolan, financial adviser (running in the 14th district)
• Michael Gerald, pastor and Westchester County deputy corrections commissioner (endorsed Latimer)

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Declared

• Madeline Brame, nonprofit founder

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 17th district is based in the Lower Hudson Valley, including all of Rockland and Putnam counties, northern Westchester County, and a small part of Dutchess County. The incumbent is Republican Mike Lawler, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.32% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Mike Lawler, incumbent U.S. representative

Declined

• William Maloney, former White House liaison to the U.S. Agency for International Development

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• MaryAnn Carr, former town supervisor of Bedford
• Mondaire Jones, member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights and former U.S. Representative

Potential

• Sean Patrick Maloney, former U.S. representative

Withdrawn

• Liz Gereghty, Katonah–Lewisboro School District trustee and sister of Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer (endorsed Jones)

Endorsements

Polling

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

Polling

The 18th district is based in the mid-Hudson Valley, including all of Orange County and most of Dutchess and Ulster counties. The incumbent is Democrat Pat Ryan, who was re-elected with 50.67% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Pat Ryan, incumbent U.S. representative

Potential

• Sean Patrick Maloney, former U.S. representative

Declined

• James Skoufis, state senator from the 42nd district (2019–present) (running for re-election)

Endorsements

Fundraising

Republican primary

Declared

• Alison Esposito, former NYPD deputy inspector and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2022
• Lovelynn Gwinn, real estate broker and nominee for the 13th district in 2020

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The 19th district stretches from the Upper Hudson Valley across the Catskill Mountains to parts of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, including Hudson, Woodstock, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, and Ithaca. It includes all of Columbia, Greene, Sullivan, Delaware, Chenango, Cortland, Broome, Tioga, and Tompkins counties, and parts of Otsego and Ulster counties. The incumbent is Republican Marc Molinaro, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.78% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Marc Molinaro, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Josh Riley, lawyer, former aide to then-U.S. Representative Maurice Hinchey, and nominee for this district in 2022

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The 20th district is based in the Capital Region, including Albany, Troy, Schenectady, and Saratoga Springs. It includes all of Albany, Schenectady, and Saratoga counties and parts of Rensselaer County. The incumbent is Democrat Paul Tonko, who was re-elected with 55.07% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Paul Tonko, incumbent U.S. representative

Filed paperwork

• Emmanuel Jorge-Garcia, chemical engineer

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 21st district is based in the North Country and Adirondack Mountains, including Glens Falls, Lake George, Plattsburgh, Potsdam, Amsterdam, and Cooperstown. The incumbent is Republican Elise Stefanik, who was re-elected with 59.15% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Jill Lochner, training manager
• Elise Stefanik, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Paula Collins, cannabis tax attorney
• Steven Holden, financial management consultant, retired U.S. Army officer, and nominee for the 24th district in 2022

Endorsements

Working Families primary

Declared

• Brian Rouleau, car dealership finance manager

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The 22nd district is based in Central New York and the Mohawk Valley, including Syracuse and Utica. It includes all of Onondaga, Oneida, and Madison counties and a small sliver of Oswego County. The incumbent is Republican Brandon Williams, who was elected with 50.49% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Brandon Williams, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Clem Harris, Utica University professor and former aide to then-governor David Paterson
• Sarah Hood, DeWitt town board member and candidate for this district in 2022
• John Mannion, state senator from the 50th district (2020–present)

Withdrew

• Jake Addington, farmworker (endorsed Hood)
• Katelyn Kriesel, Manlius town councilor

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

The incumbent is Republican Nick Langworthy, who was elected with 64.92% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Nick Langworthy, incumbent U.S. Representative

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• Thomas Carle, food manufacturing industry executive

General election

Predictions

The incumbent is Republican Claudia Tenney, who was re-elected with 65.70% of the vote in 2022.

Republican primary

Declared

• Mario Fratto, attorney and candidate for this district in 2022

Potential

• Claudia Tenney, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Democratic primary

Declared

• David Wagenhauser, attorney

General election

Predictions

The 25th district is based in the Rochester area, including all of Monroe County and part of Orleans County. The incumbent is Democrat Joseph Morelle, who was re-elected with 53.87% of the vote in 2022.

Democratic primary

Potential

• Joseph Morelle, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

General election

Prediction

The 26th district is based in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, including the more urban parts of Erie County and western Niagara County. The incumbent was Democrat Brian Higgins, who was re-elected with 63.94% of the vote in 2022. Higgins resigned February 2, 2024 to become president of Shea's Performing Arts Center.

Democratic primary

Declared

• Tim Kennedy, state senator (2011–present) and nominee for this district in the 2024 special election
• Nate McMurray, former town supervisor of Grand Island and nominee for the 27th district in 2018 and 2020

Publicly expressed interest

• Crystal Peoples-Stokes, Majority Leader of the New York State Assembly (2018–present) from the 141st district (2003–present)
• Jeanne Vinal, Erie County legislator
• India Walton, community organizer and nominee for mayor of Buffalo in 2021

Potential

• Melodie Baker, nonprofit executive and candidate for the 27th district in the 2020 special election
• Patrick Burke, state assemblyman from the 142nd district(2019–present)
• Sean Ryan, state senator from the 61st district (2023–present)

Declined

• Byron Brown, mayor of Buffalo (2006–present), former chair of the New York Democratic Party (2016–2019), and former state senator from the 60th district (2001–2005)
• Brian Higgins, former U.S. representative (2005–2024) (resigned February 2, 2024)
• Mark Poloncarz, Erie County Executive (2012–present)

Fundraising

General election

Prediction