James Thompson
Quick Facts
Biography
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats held a house seat in the state since 2010.
Overview
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 153,082 | 68.15% | 71,558 | 31.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 224,640 | 100% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 126,098 | 47.64% | 123,859 | 46.79% | 14,731 | 5.57% | 264,688 | 100% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 139,762 | 43.91% | 170,518 | 53.57% | 8,021 | 2.52% | 318,301 | 100% | Democratic gain |
District 4 | 144,248 | 59.44% | 98,445 | 40.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 242,693 | 100% | Republican hold |
Total | 563,190 | 53.62% | 464,380 | 44.21% | 22,752 | 2.17% | 1,050,322 | 100% |
Popular vote | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Popular vote | ||||
Republican | 53.62% | |||
Democratic | 44.21% | |||
Other | 2.17% | |||
Republican | 53.62% | |||
Democratic | 44.21% | |||
Other | 2.17% |
House seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
House seats | ||||
Republican | 75% | |||
Democratic | 25% | |||
Republican | 75% | |||
Democratic | 25% |
District 1
The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent Congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.
Republican primary
Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018. Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois.
Candidates
Nominee
- Roger Marshall, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Nick Reinecker
Declined
- Tim Huelskamp, former U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 64,843 | 78.7 | |
Republican | Nick Reinecker | 17,593 | 21.3 | |
Total votes | 82,436 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 17,195 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 17,195 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roger Marshall (R) | Alan LaPolice (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 221 | ± 6.6% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) | October 22–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Remington (R-Marshall) | October 8–9, 2018 | 1,432 | ± 2.6% | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 193 | ± 6.8% | 44% | 17% | 35% |
Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) | September 21–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 33% | 23% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 153,082 | 68.1 | |
Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 71,558 | 31.9 | |
Total votes | 224,640 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election. Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.
Republican primary
Campaign
Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018.
Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district.
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Watkins, army veteran, dog racer and engineer
Eliminated in primary
- Vernon Fields, Basehor City Councilman
- Steve Fitzgerald, state senator
- Kevin Jones, state representative
- Doug Mays, former Kansas House speaker
- Dennis Pyle, state senator
- Caryn Tyson, state senator
Withdrawn
- Matt Bevens
- Tyler Tannahill
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Kansans for Life
- Organizations
- Kansans for Life
- Organizations
- Kansans for Life
- Kansas Farm Bureau
- The Madison Project
- Maggie's List
- Susan B. Anthony List
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States
- U.S. Representatives
- Roger Marshall, US Representative (KS-01)
- Organizations
- With Honor
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Watkins | 20,052 | 26.5 | |
Republican | Caryn Tyson | 17,749 | 23.5 | |
Republican | Kevin Jones | 11,201 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Steve Fitzgerald | 9,227 | 12.2 | |
Republican | Dennis Pyle | 9,126 | 12.1 | |
Republican | Doug Mays | 6,221 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Vernon J. Fields | 1,987 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 75,563 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district.
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Davis, former Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2014
Withdrawn
- Nathan Schmidt
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Paul Davis | 38,846 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 38,846 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kelly Standley, business developer
General election
Endorsements
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States
- U.S. Representatives
- Roger Marshall, US Representative (KS-01)
- Organizations
- With Honor
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- Newspapers
- The Kansas City Star
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Watkins (R) | Paul Davis (D) | Kelly Standley (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 27–30, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 37% | 41% | 7% | – | 15% |
Change Research (D) | October 27–29, 2018 | 902 | – | 45% | 44% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 231 | ± 6.5% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 243 | ± 6.4% | 31% | 35% | 4% | 3% | 28% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 13–15, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Davis (D) | Steve Fitzgerald (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Mellman Group (D) | June 13–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Paul Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 711 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Watkins | 126,098 | 47.6 | |
Democratic | Paul Davis | 123,859 | 46.8 | |
Libertarian | Kelly Standley | 14,731 | 5.6 | |
Total votes | 264,688 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011.Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Yoder, incumbent representative
Eliminated in primary
- Trevor Keegan
- Joe Myers
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 53,130 | 68.1 | |
Republican | Trevor Keegan | 14,574 | 18.7 | |
Republican | Joe Myers | 10,268 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 77,972 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sharice Davids, attorney, mixed martial artist, and former White House Fellow
Eliminated in primary
- Mike McCamon, businessman
- Tom Niermann, teacher
- Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016
- Brent Welder, attorney
- Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager
Withdrawn
- Chris Haulmark (dropped out to run for the Kansas House of Representatives)
- Reggie Marselus, retired union official and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Joe McConnell, businessman and Iraq War veteran
- Andrea Ramsey, attorney and former healthcare executive
Endorsements
- U.S. Representatives
- Raul Ruiz, US Representative (D-CA-25)
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus
- EMILY's List
- Equality Kansas
- Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
- LPAC
- Run with Pride
- Newspapers
- The Kansas City Star
- Local officials
- Sollie Flora, Mission City Councilmember
- Chad Herring, Prairie Village City Councilmember
- Mike Kelly, Mayor of Roeland Park
- Jori Nelson, Prairie Village City Councilmember
- Heather Ousley, Shawnee Mission School District School Board At-Large Member
- Tucker Poling, Prairie Village City Councilmember
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Slattery, former Congressman (D-KS-2)
- State legislators
- Barbara Bollier, state senator (R-7)
- Cindy Neighbor, state representative (D-18)
- Brett Parker, state representative (D-29)
- Labor unions
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America St. Louis-Kansas City Regional Council
- United Transportation Union (SMART-TD KS)
- Organizations
- Mainstream Coalition
- Local officials
- Kay Barnes, former Mayor of Kansas City, MO
- Al Frisby, City Councilman - Merriam
- Logan Heley, City Councilman - Overland Park
- Jen Hill, City Councilwoman - Roeland Park
- Carol Marinovich, former Mayor of Kansas City, KS
- Andrew Osman, City Councilman - Leawood
- Hillary Parker Thomas, City Councilwoman - Mission
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
- U.S. Representatives
- Bruce Braley, former Congressman (D-IA-1)
- Ro Khanna, US Representative (D-CA-17)
- Patrick Murphy, former congressman (D-FL-18)
- Mark Pocan, US Representative (D-WI-2)
- Jamie Raskin, US Representative (D-MD-8)
- Statewide officials
- Jason Kander, former Missouri Secretary of State, founder of Let America Vote, candidate for Mayor of Kansas City in 2019, and host of Majority 54
- Labor unions
- Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen
- Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 10
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers-Transportation Division
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 56
- International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 15
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades DC 3
- Laborers International Union of North America
- National Nurses United
- Service Employees International Union MO/KS State Council
- Organisations
- Brand New Congress
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
- Demand Universal Healthcare
- End Citizens United
- Justice Democrats
- Our Revolution
- The People for Bernie Sanders
- Political Revolution
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Individuals
- Lee Kinch, former Kansas Democratic Party chairman
- Nathaniel McLaughlin, former Wyandotte County NAACP President, candidate for Kansas Insurance Commissioner
- Killer Mike, rapper and social justice activist
- Wandra Minor, former Johnson County NAACP President
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14
- Angela Ramsey, former candidate for this seat
- Alvin Sykes, civil rights activist
- Cenk Uygur, journalist, activist, founder of Justice Democrats
- Cornel West, author, academic, activist and honorary chair of the Democratic Socialists of America
- Shailene Woodley, actress and activist
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sharice Davids | Tom Niermann | Brent Welder | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 2–3, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 21% | 15% | 35% | 12% | 17% |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sharice Davids | 23,379 | 37.3 | |
Democratic | Brent Welder | 21,190 | 33.9 | |
Democratic | Tom Niermann | 8,939 | 14.3 | |
Democratic | Mike McCamon | 4,354 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | Sylvia Williams | 2,955 | 4.7 | |
Democratic | Jay Sidie | 1,790 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 62,607 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States
- Donald Trump, President of the United States
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
- Federal officials
- Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States
- Kathleen Sebelius, former Governor of Kansas and former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services
- U.S. Representatives
- Raul Ruiz, US Representative (D-CA-25)
- State legislators
- Cindy Holscher, state representative
- Laura Kelly, state senator and 2018 nominee for governor
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Equality Kansas
- Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund
- LPAC
- Run with Pride
- Newspapers
- The Kansas City Star
- Local officials
- Sollie Flora, Mission City Councilmember
- Chad Herring, Prairie Village City Councilmember
- Mike Kelly, Mayor of Roeland Park
- Jori Nelson, Prairie Village City Councilmember
- Heather Ousley, Shawnee Mission School District School Board At-Large Member
- Tucker Poling, Prairie Village City Councilmember
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Sharice Davids (D) | Chris Clemmons (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 43% | 55% | – | 1% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 14–17, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.7% | 39% | 48% | 3% | 11% |
Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 246 | ± 6.4% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 10% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 20–23, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 51% | – | 6% |
Remington Research (R-Yoder) | September 18–20, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D-Davids) | August 13–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Brent Welder (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 14–15, 2018 | 315 | ± 5.5% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sharice Davids | 170,518 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 139,762 | 43.9 | |
Libertarian | Chris Clemmons | 8,021 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 318,301 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 4
The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.
Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration. After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017.
Republican primary
The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans.
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron Estes, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ron M. Estes (different candidate with similar name), high level manager at Boeing for 40 years including working on the International Space Station project
Declined
- Susan Wagle, Kansas Senate President
Campaign
Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 57,522 | 81.4 | |
Republican | Ron M. Estes | 13,159 | 18.6 | |
Total votes | 70,681 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats.
Candidates
Nominee
- James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017
Eliminated in primary
- Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services)
Campaign
Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him. Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believes it breaks state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot.
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | James Thompson | 20,261 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Laura Lombard | 10,797 | 34.8 | |
Total votes | 31,058 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO
- Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron Estes (R) | James Thompson (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 63% | 33% | 4% |
Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 256 | ± 6.4% | 50% | 26% | 20% |
Change Research (D-Thompson) | July 17–19, 2018 | 1,896 | ± 2.25% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 144,248 | 59.4 | |
Democratic | James Thompson | 98,445 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 242,693 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |